Thursday, December 10, 2020

How much of the future is set in stone and how much is a computer taking a guess?



How much do you trust technology? You'd probably say a lot because you use it everyday like, your phone, computer, even your car. So it's now wonder that we use it to try and predict the future whether it be the immediate future or one hundred years from now but how much of that is actually fact and how accurate is that information?

Answer: not very much people seem to think that just because the computer predicted something it is more accurate than an educated guess by a human. We see computers as this higher power that is never wrong, but humans, who made them, are susceptible to being wrong. People in the 50s thought the world was going to end in 2020 and sure, we came close to it but it didn't. Even predicting what is going to happen seconds from now is hard for a computer to do accurately.

Take cars with automatic braking and lane departure alert for example what happens when a piece of paper flies across the road in front of your car and it thinks its a person or an animal and slams on the brakes. You are not prepared for that to happen neither is the car behind you. You have a better judgment call than the computer and can see that it's a piece of paper and not a person.

Driver siting in car in rainy weather
Lane departure alert is supposed to wake up drivers who fall asleep behind the wheel, the car will detect if you start drifting over the line on the road seems like a good idea but how many roads do you drive down that have no lines or what about the winter when there is snow or on new pavement with no lines yet.

My point being that there are just too many factors that contribute to it for it to be accurate 100% of the time, even if it is advertised as being 100% accurate that is the results of testing it in perfect conditions.

The human brain is a computer that is not yet able to be mechanically replicated and you could argue is smarter than a computer in the sense that a human has a better judgment call then a computer.

Are there situations where accuracy is not needed? Yes. Programmers at MIT's Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory developed a computer that can predict what happens next based on looking at a still photo. The computer watched 2 million videos to figure out how things move and react to situations. Then using algorithms it can create a 2 second video of what it thinks will happen.

So now how much do you trust technology? How much of the information you base your long term plans on are fact and how much is speculation. 

 

 

 

 

Works Cited

Melendez, Steve. "Teaching Computers to Predict the Future." nbcnews.com, nbc, 2 Dec. 2016, www.nbcnews.com/mach/technology/deep-learning-predicts-future-n690851. Accessed 9 Dec. 2020.

Samuel, Tim. Driver Sitting in Car in Rainy Weather. 9 Nov. 2020. Photos for Class, www.pexels.com/photo/driver-siting-in-car-in-rainy-weather-5835278/. Accessed 10 Dec. 2020.

3 comments:

  1. Relly good blog topic and a great take on it, i agree with how their are to many factors for computers to be 100% on what will come in the futer. only thing i would add/change is add a picture or 2. otherwise great blog.

    ReplyDelete
  2. This was a really interesting article with lots of great points! I agree that while computers are supposed to be intelligent, humans can take into account a lot more factors that the computers will not process.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I like how you broke up the writing with pictures that go well with your background color. I agree that tech is changing fast and people should not learn to rely fully on it because like you said it's not 100% accurate.

    ReplyDelete

How did the iPhone Become so Popular

       Apple and the iPhone have been at the top of popularity from the beginning, with the first iPhone being released in 2007 its popula...